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Does it Make Sense to Sit Postup Fantasy Basketball Players Against Top Ranked Defenses?

This article will explore the importance of competitive play in fantasy basketball. We all know fantasy football is a game that depends on the defense of the match so we want to see that the defense of the match is also important in basketball. In particular we would like to focus our analysis on the impact of the best internal defense on the low back offense. To do this we analyzed the average player’s post performance compared to the premier team’s interior defense.

A quick survey of the league shows that only Boston, LA, Denver and San Antonio have the kind of interior defense that one would be ashamed of. Boston has a combination of Garnett, Sheed, and Kendrick Perkins that is the best the league has to offer. All three are only about 7 feet tall and Garnett is a past defensive player of the year. The Lakers are also an above average team. Between Gasol, Byum, Odem and Artest the Lakers have one of the best interior defenses in the Western Conference.

Denver is a Western Conference team that could compete for that title with Nene, Birdman and Kenyon Martin combining like Megatron to have the Nuggets block shots going up the deck. Finally, the discussion about the interior defense can not ignore the San Antonio Spurs who always take it defensively. Duncan and McDysess are two old school defensive OGs who along with the excellent defense of their teammates can shut down the opposition game after game.

Let’s dig right to some numbers. Table 1 shows the average point and rebound differences for the NBA team’s top players against the four best defensive teams used in our data set. In total, post players can expect a drop in scoring (-3.07ppg) and rebounding (-0.71rpg) when going against the top defensive team. Although these results are not a big difference from the given player’s average season, the takeaway message is that you should not expect a monster game that will increase your ride in the middle when going against elite defenders.

A few more interesting things come out of this analysis. First, the impact of the best defense has a greater effect on competition than on recovery. In addition, the analysis shows that when we analyzed the 4 best defensive teams it was found that Boston and Denver seemed to be higher than San Antonio and LA defense. In fact, if you remove SA and LA then the avg point and rebound difference becomes -6 ppg and closer to -1 rpg.

So the question remains, if you are a football player based on defensive math. We will follow the recommendations we made for football. Don’t beat your star players, but use defensive tactics as a go/no-go decision to play mid-range players or inconsistent players.

So there you have it, defensive match ups play a role in fantasy basketball, at least from the post players perspective. Although the differences are not drastic, they support the fact that your average player is less likely to perform well against better defenses. Fortunately for you the NBA has become a defensive game and having only one defense with enough personnel to create scoring problems is the lowest.

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